Lipstick on a Pig
So commented at least one person present when the Democratic National Committee’s decision on the Florida and Michigan delegates was announced today—I assume that person was a supporter of Hillary Clinton—and “party unity” was called for in that decision’s wake.
So someone said, and so I agree.
The compromise decision reached today seats all of each state’s delegation, but gives each delegate only one half of one vote. The net effect was that Clinton cut into Barack Obama’s delegate lead by 24, today, leaving Obama with a 178 delegate lead.
This was a victory for the Obama campaign; his lead could have been cut to 154. But even that might have been seen as a victory. Obama has already been helped by the fact that these primaries were not counted when they happened in January. Had they been counted then, Clinton would have gained momentum from them, headed into the Super Tuesday contests on February 5.
It can also be seen, though, as a minor victory for the Clinton campaign. Seating all of the delegates, even with only ½ vote each allows Clinton to court superdelegates on the strength of her performance in the popular vote—with the Florida and Michigan votes counted, despite the delegate count, Clinton can claim to be the choice of the people. Given a strong performance in the few remaining primaries, gaining a majority of the remaining pledged delegates, and a majority of the popular votes in these contests, she can, perhaps, woo enough superdelegates—particularly those who have committed to support the people’s choice.
But here’s my question. If Obama were trailing in the delegate count, and had won these states, and stood to, potentially, gain the nomination based upon today’s decision, would the DNC have hesitated to seat these delegates at full strength? I think not. The only reason this “compromise” decision was accepted is because the majority of those voting seems to believe that it will allow the coronation to proceed apace, and the Clinton camp took what they could get.
After all, there’s not need for such silly things as the electoral process and the will of the people when The Audacity of Hope—or perhaps just sheer audacity—can bring the next presidency about not by election but by acclamation.
I think the biggest thing we’ve learned today is that perhaps in Puerto Rico, where Clinton is expected to win tomorrow, Obama should opt to remove his name from the ballot, in the hope of halving whatever small gains Clinton can make there.
And I think that if I were a Florida Democrat, after having been disenfranchised by the US Supreme Court in 2000 and by my own national party in 2008, I would be asking myself, at this point, whether voting at all was worth the bother.
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